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I've been working on "general" AI quite a few years, both academically and professionally and IMO we're decades away from anything general, let alone the singul

I've been working on "general" AI quite a few years, both academically and professionally and IMO we're decades away from anything general, let alone the singularity. Given this, I wonder where is the bubble. Of course, I see a lot of blog posts and hype, startups here and there, companies pouring billions into "AI". Yet, I cannot participate in that bubble because: - big companies (GOOG and the likes) are not positioned for AI only and are quite expensive already (maybe it's rather a tech or even stock market bubble there) - small companies (I assume) are mostly start-ups, so there is no way to "get in" except as a VC So yes, I see the signs of the bubble but I don't see where "mom and pop" come into play there. Any suggestions as to what makes this bubble a real investment bubble? Or does bubble in this case mean something different?

jholman 9y ago
By "bubble", Analemma meant a distorting metaphorical sphere of delusion. Like "filter bubble", but more general. I think your first paragraph means you agree with the analysis. There's also an investment surge in AI, which might be a bubble, but if you're asking how to participate, then I suspect you're not going to get to participate. Plus, the word "bubble", in the context of investment, means something about to pop. If it's an actual investment bubble, you don't want in.
BenjaminTodd 9y ago
We think even if AGI is only invented in 50 years, then it's still worth doing some work on the control problem today, so our view isn't that dependent on whether we're currently in an AI investment bubble or not. However, if you did really believe the hype, and think that ML will lead to major breakthroughs in the next decade or so, then that would make it even more urgent.