It's complex, and you're right to a first approximation. People (like GP poster) greatly overestimate the proportion of prisoners who could be easily and immedi

It's complex, and you're right to a first approximation. People (like GP poster) greatly overestimate the proportion of prisoners who could be easily and immediately released if the War on Drugs was ended. On the 'could be greater than 14% side" you'd also want to know how many people are losing day release/probation/parole for dirty urine; even non-drug parolees and probationers might be tested. Probably the other palatable change that would reduce incarceration rates would be to stop using jails as de facto asylums.