All I mean is that these predictions have to be taken with a grain of salt. I feel like there's an inherent assumption here that the scientific and political la

All I mean is that these predictions have to be taken with a grain of salt. I feel like there's an inherent assumption here that the scientific and political landscape will remain unchanged and progress will continue at or exceed it's current pace. There are plenty of things that could prevent this from being true -- nuclear war, economic/political collapse, natural disaster, to name a few. I do hope they're accurate -- mainly because I think it would be cool to see human-level AI in my lifetime -- but at the same time I remain skeptical