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I modified the title for accuracy. The original title misleads, slightly, IMO: "When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts." I swapped AI
by jtraffic 9y ago
I modified the title for accuracy. The original title misleads, slightly, IMO: "When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts." I swapped AI out and replaced it with ML.
The paper itself uses the acronym HLMI (high level machine intelligence). Quoting:
"High-level machine intelligence (HLMI) is achieved when unaided machines can accomplish every task better and more cheaply than human workers."
So a collection of machines could accomplish HLMI, without needing any single machine to do it alone.
- AnimalMuppet 9y agoAlso, "Survey of ML researchers" is more accurate than the actual article title, "Evidence from AI Experts". The survey result isn't evidence of anything beyond what current opinion is. It sure isn't evidence for when this will actually happen.
- Houshalter 9y agoI disagree with your modification. They are definitely talking about actual AI. Computers that are actually generally intelligent and can do every task humans can do.
- vacri 9y agoThe only bit of the book Superintelligence that I liked was the historical bit at the start, where it described the problem AI researchers have: as soon as they achieve a milestone in AI, the goalposts shift and that milestone is no longer considered an AI marker. The simplest example was "can make a human believe they're talking to another human", which was achieved with ELIZA. Before then, what ELIZA could do was "AI". After, it was "just this thing, you know"...