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Has any link ever been determined between interview performance and on-the-job performance? I've made the clichéd mistake mentioned in the article of wearing a
by anjc 9y ago
Has any link ever been determined between interview performance and on-the-job performance?
I've made the clichéd mistake mentioned in the article of wearing a suit to an interview where it wasn't appropriate, and felt the air being sucked out of the room. It strikes me as silly, but what do I know. Do these hiring practices result in a good cohort of employees?
- oculusthrift 9y agothey aren't necessarily trying to get the best employees but instead trying to avoid bad or mediocre ones. This means they sacrifice rejecting some smart people in order to gaurantee they don't have terrible people.
- gaylemcd 9y agoGoogle kinda-sorta did a study there, but the "study" was fundamentally flawed. They didn't look at people who didn't get hired (duh). So the most they could say is that once people passed the (very high, risk averse) bar, how much better they did beyond that didn't have a strong enough correlation with job performance to come out in a small-ish number of data points. To me, it's pretty clear that it basically works. It's not perfect, but yeah it works. Virtually every top tech company has been formed with these practices. So unless you're going to argue that they could have hired random engineers, then it must be effective. (Note: this doesn't mean that it's perfect or that there's nothing better or that you can't improve it. It just means that it is reasonably effective.) I [author here] have done a lot of interviews with companies going through acquisitions, and that's offered me the ability to talk with their managers about their job performance. My assessment is generally accurate. There are certain things it can't evaluate, of course, like work ethic. Work ethic is really important, but there's really no way to interview for that.
- michaelt 9y agoUnfortunately, nobody has any data on the job performance of people who failed their interview.
- anjc 9y agoTrue but it should be possible to compare interview performance to job. I presume that interview performances for successful hires aren't uniform, and that on-the-job performances aren't uniform either. If these interview practices make sense then presumably there should be a clear correlation between the two.
- gaylemcd 9y agoThat's not necessarily the case. People who are in shape have longer lifespans than those who aren't (probably true; let's assume it is). But if you look at just people who complete a marathon in under 3 hours, you might not see a correlation between their speed and their eventual lifespan. At some point, people might be "good enough" where beyond that is rapidly diminishing returns. To complicate this: 1. The range in interview performance of those who get hired is really quite narrow. So you're looking at essentially the difference between a 3.1 and a 3.3. You'll need a lot of data to try to find a correlation there. 2. The interview score is only a partial measure of interview performance. If you and I experience an identical interview, I might call that a 3.1 and you might call that a 3.3. The hiring committee will hopefully understand that a 3.1 from me and a 3.3 from you are equally good (because they see our past scores). This makes the data on interview performance harder to correlate, and you'll need even more data. (Or you'll need to properly take this into account in the study, by looking at a score relative to that interviewer's past scores, rather than the score itself.) 3. The above point, repeated for job performance. 4. When a candidate with a lower score gets hired, they're more likely to have something that offset these lower scores. The data set of people who got hired is {people who interviewed well and had good or bad resumes} + {people who interviewed just okay but had great resumes}. When you correlate interview performance of those who got hired, the lower scores in there are skewed towards people with great resumes (or referrals or something else). That factor could totally eliminate any correlation between interview scores and job performance.