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If Taleb had published the Black Swan and then retired, he would have been a legend. Instead he keeps talking and it becomes clear that there isn't much differe
by mikeyouse 9y ago
If Taleb had published the Black Swan and then retired, he would have been a legend. Instead he keeps talking and it becomes clear that there isn't much difference between him and someone like Peter Schiff.
- mherrmann 9y agoI'm just reading Antifragile. It's interesting as well.
- ryankennedyio 9y agoI think this is a sound, critical review of the Black Swan & Taleb in general. Funnily enough, the criticisms of him are more relevant/prominent now than nearly a decade ago when this was written. http://falkenblog.blogspot.com.au/2009/03/review-of-talebs-black-swan.html http://falkenblog.blogspot.com.au/2009/03/review-of-talebs-b...
- elipsey 9y agoGreat review, thanks for posting this. To anyone considering reading the book I would recommend this article instead. I quit Black Swan part way through because, like the talk quoted above, it was long on invective, but seemed short on verifiable predections or generalizable methods. I just couldn't make it through the trolling...
- taw55 9y agoIt appears his claim to faim was 2008, which imo wasn't a black swan event at all (to anyone watching private sector indebtedness figures).
- mark_l_watson 9y agoI recently read his newer book "Anti Fragile" and liked it a lot, generally good advice that as humans we can recognize if businesses and social institutions are robust to random events, while, we can not predict low probability events. I agree though that he was somewhat disappointing in this video.