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"The Sanford researcher is also confident that within the next decade, humans will predominantly rely on self-driving vehicles as they are significantly less da
by tonylemesmer 9y ago
"The Sanford researcher is also confident that within the next decade, humans will predominantly rely on self-driving vehicles as they are significantly less dangerous."
Given that an autonomous vehicle capable of performing safe comprehensive driving skills doesn't yet exist I find this and other claims in the article somewhat of a stretch.
- Broken_Hippo 9y ago"Given that an autonomous vehicle capable of performing safe comprehensive driving skills doesn't yet exist I find this and other claims in the article somewhat of a stretch." This seems odd to me - this is a prediction, so (to me) it is natural that the tech doesn't quite exist yet. But we have things like assisted braking, cars that help you park, and tests of self-driving cars. Heck, some cities have already approved them for use (1]. It isn't like we need them to be perfect, only have them wind up better than the humans. It doesn't seem like much of a stretch to say we'll increasingly rely on them in 10 years. [1] http://fortune.com/2017/01/24/driverless-car-cities/ http://fortune.com/2017/01/24/driverless-car-cities/
- tonylemesmer 9y agoFair point: "predominantly" would imply >50% adoption. My argument was only one of timescales. But still ambitious. I would still say that being truly autonomous is quite different to a "help you park" feature and having "assisted braking". Its all the gaps in between these tasks. In the UK and I haven't yet seen a demo of a car driving down rural roads, let alone on UK motorways or in congested London. But with segregation I could totally see autonomous vehicles being swiftly adopted within a matter of months. [edit] yes I know the study is about the US.