I agree with the other comments here that the timeline is a likely too aggressive, but it's probably not too early to start thinking in "death spiral" terms for

I agree with the other comments here that the timeline is a likely too aggressive, but it's probably not too early to start thinking in "death spiral" terms for a big chunk of the oil and gas industry. It's not crazy to predict a pretty vicious feedback loop where at 15-25% EV car usage that gas stations start closing, more EV cars are sold so further gas stations close, as demand falls even further, even more close, etc. I still feel like there are some weird brand/identity aspects to the denialism about the EV future. If I introduced a gas powered vehicle tomorrow that: - Had 1/3 the parts of today's vehicles - Cost 1/10th the energy per mile - Would work for 90% of people's commutes - Comparable sticker price There'd be no question that it would massive disrupt the current infrastructure.