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I don't understand the "shotgun clause" at all. Suppose we simplify and the offer must be accepted using only money in a (private) bank account designated in a
by logicallee 9y ago
I don't understand the "shotgun clause" at all. Suppose we simplify and the offer must be accepted using only money in a (private) bank account designated in advance, and each person knows the other person's balance because they're honest with each other.
Then if one person has $27,000 in their private bank account and the other person has $14,000 then the person with $27,000 can offer $14,001 and the person with $14,000 is forced to accept.
If one of the parties happens to be overdrawn on that account and have net -$3.70 then the other party can ofer $5 and the overdrawn party would be forced to accept.
Now granted in the real world people can raise buyout capital from their private network on short notice -- but doesn't this show great unfairness, if the parties aren't both independently much richer than the value of the business they're discussing?
For most startup founders who own, say, 50% of a startup whose last valuation was $7 million, that is nearly all of their net worth. The vast majority probably could not so much as raise $50,000 on short notice. So, if one of the parties already has a hundred thousand, they can offer $55,000 and the more cash-strapped party would be forced to accept it.
So what gives. I just don't get it at all. Like, I don't even get the theory of why this is supposed to be fair... it just seems "obviously" broken to me -- so I must be missing something.
- beagle3 9y agoYou are missing the "raising for buy out". If the shares are realistically worth $20K, and the $27K guy offers $14.1K, then the $14k guy would raise $0.1K (possibly even with a 50% APR) and counter; instant 5.9k profit.
- logicallee 9y agoIt was an illustrative, mathematical example, of what I'm talking about. If the shares are worth $3.5 million, how much do you think the guy leaving can raise on short notice? If you say anything over $100,000 you are delusional. Investors don't even see the value in companies that are provably worth $1 billion. Even in retrospect you say, "well yeah history showed it is worth $1 billion, and the founder made a good case for that, but actually that is like a founder making a good case that he will role 10 "6's" in a row on a die, and then proceed to do that. The chances that he was going to do that are actually just 1 in 60,466,176 so the correct value of that "$1 billion" share is actually $1 billion / 60,466,176 = $16. That seems a little low - I'll give you a $100 for it. That's my annual budget for lottery tickets." Investors don't value startups correctly and the idea that a guy can quickly raise money for a buyout of a stake in a company he's leaving borders on delusional. Plus, who would invest in a company with a negative signal that strong: that a guy who owns 1/3 of it wants to leave it. There is obviously absolutely no way for a cash-poor founder without prior exits to raise anywhere near $3.5 million for a 50% buyout of a company raising a round at $7 million. honestly - have you tried raising money around the seed stage? It's brutal, if everyone is on board and there are no negative signals of any kind. I wouldn't be surprised if no poorly networked, cash-poor founder has raised significant (>$1 million) for a shotgun buyout of a company he's leaving, on short notice, ever. I might be wrong though, and I'd love to know if so. In my model it's really, really hard to raise money.
- beagle3 9y agoYes, I have raised successfully at the seed stage several times. If the company is worth $3.5M and no vesting schedule, no investor will touch it (and the 3.5m valauation was reached either out of thin air, or on the back of a sucker). If you cannot raise (with e.g. 20% discount for the trouble), the valuation is wrong.
- logicallee 9y agoI think we're saying the same thing. The example wasn't of raising a round - it was raising money for a shotgun buyout, so you can leave a company completely while the company tries with other principals and other investors. Using your money - but not using the guy you're giving your money to, who will go home. That's the scenario that I don't think is very realistic. As a result the poor founder will not be given a fair offer. Which is why I don't get how shotgun clauses are supposed to be fair. This is pretty "obvious" to me. So I might still be missing something.
- beagle3 9y agoNo, we are not saying the same thing. I say that the situation you described is so far fetched as to be irrelevant to a discussion of "shutgun buyouts" in general. How did the company reach a $7M valuation? They might have sold 1 share out of 7M shares for $1. That, technically, would make it worth $7M. But practically, it isn't. Let's say company raised $3M at $4M pre-money => $7M post money. That's not unreasonable. At this point in time, the company has $3M in the bank, so it is indeed worth at least $3M. Let's say "cash poor founder" only has $100K in the bank. If "cash rich founder" offers to buy 50% for $500K (five times what "cash poor founder" can afford), then it is extremely easy to raise $500K, for a promise to pay $550K from company coffers the next day, because in fact those $500K will buy control of $3M. And that's exactly why investors insist on vesting schedules, first rights of refusals, tag-alongs, bring-alongs, etc - because the investor who put $3M into that company is likely to lose it in a variety of real world cases without those clauses. I say your cases are not impossible, just extremely improbable. In practice, it is easy to borrow against a grounded valuation with some. The poor founder will likely get an "unfair" offer, but "unfair" here is within 10-20% of a fair offer, not a 50% or 90% as in your examples. I assume poor founder is a smart founder, of course - he might not have access to lenders/investors, which could get him treated unfairly; But of course, that's also the case for having illness, immigration problems, disability, etc. Money is an advantage, lack of money is a disadvantage -- but it is not fatal in these cases in general.
- BrentOzar 9y ago> Then if one person has $27,000 in their private bank account and the other person has $14,000 then the person with $27,000 can offer $14,001 and the person with $14,000 is forced to accept. Not necessarily - for example, in my own company's case, the company itself paid out the other partners. The company can take on debt to buy out a partner's shares (or a portion thereof) if the existing partners are willing. I couldn't have afforded to buy out my partners personally, but with the business's assets, I could.
- logicallee 9y agoHey, this is very useful information. I would like to ask some more details, but not here. Could you throw up a contact on your profile or mail me at mine, if you'd have a couple of minutes for my questions around that? Thanks.
- BrentOzar 9y agoAbsolutely, YGM.
- bsterne 9y agoThere are financing options for people facing a shotgun clause. e.g. http://www.shotgunfund.com/ http://www.shotgunfund.com/
- logicallee 9y agoOMG, I'm not in that position or anything right now but thank you SO much for this link! So good to know.