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2025 sounds a little ambitious to me, pretty much everything would have to go right for that to happen, but the regulatory gears are turning pretty hard now, an
by Fricken 9y ago
2025 sounds a little ambitious to me, pretty much everything would have to go right for that to happen, but the regulatory gears are turning pretty hard now, and they were set in motion years ago, first by Google beginning in 2012, but now by every major automaker and they've been lobbying pretty hard.
https://www.enotrans.org/article/washington-preparing-action-automated-vehicles/ https://www.enotrans.org/article/washington-preparing-action...
Personally, I think if anything delays the adoption of electric robotaxis to anywhere near the degree Tony Seba is anticipating, it will be battery production capacity. Tesla, with their gigafactory is the only company that's really serious about anticipating that kind of demand, and western manufacturers be in competition with China for all the raw materials needed to mass produce batteries at that scale. That's where I'm anticipating the biggest hangups.