3 ms·
A difference of two points in Elo is nothing; basically this corroborates the current betting odds that Brazil & Spain are the two favorites with small differen
by lazyant 16y ago
A difference of two points in Elo is nothing; basically this corroborates the current betting odds that Brazil & Spain are the two favorites with small differences between them.
In any case football/soccer results have such a big variance that it doesn't really matter. I think in HK there was a paper no long ago that studied soccer competitions and sayed something like the best team in a soccer competition only wins it a 30% of the time.
- alex_stoddard 16y agoA big variance is going to occur in any direct elimination competition (which the world cup is after the group stage). (This has always bugged me regarding the baseball playoff system. It is a big boost for teams economically but for purity I would prefer to see just a NL and an AL league table).