3 ms·
I live in the Wilmington, Delaware, area which, according to this article, is the East Coast hotbed of robots-replacing-workers. Our liabilities, in terms of i
by jawns 10y ago
I live in the Wilmington, Delaware, area which, according to this article, is the East Coast hotbed of robots-replacing-workers.
Our liabilities, in terms of industries ripe for automation, include the chemicals sector (DuPont is headquartered here and is our largest for-profit employer) and the pharmaceuticals sector (AstraZeneca is our third largest for-profit employer). We also used to have several large auto manufacturing plants, but they all shut down during the study period, and those displaced workers struggled to find new jobs. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate has more or less reflected the larger U.S. rate, which has slowly dropped since the Great Recession.
Obviously, a lot of people in the software industry are worried about what will happen if their jobs become automatable.
I just heard a talk at the Open Data Science Conference that addressed this worry, and the speaker's basic point was that the people who are most at risk are those who are resistant to change, or who can't cope well with change. Robots and automated processes are still very much in the "highly capable of performing task X" stage. So, while you can construct a specialized robot that's very good at doing one particular thing, we humans remain the supreme generalists. That may one day change, but for now, automation, by and large, replaces tasks, not people.
Granted, if you're a person who only knows how to do a handful of tasks, then you're at risk. But if you are able to change and adapt to new tasks that aren't (or aren't yet) automatable, then you'll be able to continue to stay ahead of the automation wave. At least, for a good long while.
- neuromantik8086 10y agoMy blue-collar cousin works for one of the companies that is responsible for at least some of the automation in the states that the article highlights. When asked about the workers at these factories at a family gathering, his response was to advocate that these workers pursue more education, which I think echoes your point- the more knowledge you have that you can recombine in new and creative ways, the less likely you are to suffer in the long-term.
- jawns 10y agoYou bring up a good point, that education and retraining is often a part of the process. And the more I think about it, there are probably a good number of workers affected by or at risk of being replaced by automation, and they are not necessarily resistant to change -- but they might not have the resources to pursue the retraining and education that would help them pick up the skills necessary to adapt.
- s73ver 10y agoWhere do you find the resources and time to take on this new education when you're trying to pay a mortgage and feed your family?
- PeterisP 10y agoIf 10 menial jobs are replaced by 3 high-skilled jobs, more knowledge will help you be among the minority who take those new jobs. However, giving extra education to all 10 of those people won't help all of them; the whole point why those 10 jobs were eliminated was to achieve the same result with less people.