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His point about the biases of the S&P 500 are valid but his conclusions are not. There's a point where even he acknowledges that hedge funds saw comparable per
by iaw 10y ago
His point about the biases of the S&P 500 are valid but his conclusions are not. There's a point where even he acknowledges that hedge funds saw comparable performance to a separate passive fund (MSCI All World I think?).
Even if his thesis around the S&P 500's value is correct (which I agree with) it doesn't mean that passive investments as a whole will be outperformed by equivalent hedge funds. I'd be curious to see what the performance of hedge funds that were effectively "US-only" was, my suspicion is that they weren't in line with the S&P further invalidating his conclusions.
- tanderson92 10y agoComparing to an incorrect benchmark (MSCI All-World) post-facto isn't exactly a get out of jail free card for trailing the benchmark that was known at the time of the bet. It just shows you're pretty desparate for excuses.