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What about this smells like bad stats to you? Given that the answer to at least one of your questions is in the article (or easily searchable online if you don
by itsdrewmiller 10y ago
What about this smells like bad stats to you? Given that the answer to at least one of your questions is in the article (or easily searchable online if you don't have wsj access), it seems like maybe you are assuming it is bad stats because you don't like the conclusion?
To me the engineer's study uses data that should be free from obvious bias (duration at facebook) while the company study uses data that one might expect to exhibit the same bias as that they are intending to study (promotion decisions and code review decisions). While there are undoubtedly improvements that could be done with more data or more time, I would be inclined to take the results at face value rather than assuming something must be wrong.
- ng12 10y agoNo, I'm saying it's bad stats because it seems like bad stats -- and without the dataset we can't verify. There's a lot going on here and even jumping to a conclusion of sexism is kind of silly. Maybe women are more likely to prefer a collaborative approach to problem solving and therefore are more likely to put up a CR earlier in the process? Why I wouldn't take it at face value: rejecting CRs sucks. Every round of review takes time away from the reviewer as well as the reviewee. Unconscious biases exist, sure, but it's hard to argue that people are actively making their life more difficult because of them.
- itsdrewmiller 9y agoTautologies are neither arguments nor explanations - what about it seems like bad stats to you? I agree that there are many plausible explanations for why code from women would be rejected at a higher rate at Facebook. I don't think that demonstrates bad stats though. I don't think your collaboration suggestion is very likely (given other public large scale analysis of male/female PR acceptance rates that showed them to be roughly equal) but I don't think that undermines your overall point. I don't think it's material whether it is overt or subconscious bias leading to these results - either one would be a big problem that Facebook should recognize and work on.
- ng12 9y agoWhat I mean when I say "bad stats" is that the article is drawing conclusions based on a particular view of a data set which probably does not accurately reflect reality for a laundry list of reasons. As an example, I'm sure of you're heard of the 77-79 cent wage gap. I'd call that bad stats -- what the study was actually comparing was the average income of the entire male US population and the entire female population. When you correct for job title the gap is actually closer to 95 cents on the dollar -- and you're still not correcting for other factors, such as the fact that men work more hours than women and tend to be more aggressive negotiators. But people read the study, took the data on face value, and now the wage gap is a cultural meme we can't get rid of. I think the same thing applies here -- a slice of the data looks funny so people cry sexism. I wouldn't at all be surprised if the difference goes away if you adjust for level, experience, technology used, product, background, etc, etc, etc. Publishing stats like that is dangerous unless you also release the data set and the method you used to derive your stats.