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This blog post isnt making arguments about established tokens like Ethereum. Rather, it is criticizing the outrageous valuation of some tokens, like Gnosis, tha
by zherbert 9y ago
This blog post isnt making arguments about established tokens like Ethereum. Rather, it is criticizing the outrageous valuation of some tokens, like Gnosis, that have not even released a product yet but are valued at over $300m.
- highd 9y agoYeah, as am I. GNO, AUG and Golem all have some pretty compelling upside. EDIT: Also remember that these ICOs are not equity, they're generally pre-orders for functionality on the system. So it's sort of like comparing revenue vs profit.
- Taek 9y agoIn the case of GNO, we're talking a "pre-order" where less than 4.2% of the product was sold, with the dev team retaining the remaining 95.8% at a current valuation of about $900M. These assets can be sold at any time at market price (bringing the price down and diluting the market, but that's a risk I'm betting most GNO holders don't see.) And when we are talking about pre-selling functionality, we aren't talking about pre-selling a fixed amount of functionality. It's a speculative amount of functionality where you may be able to bet on a prediction market to the tune of $100, or you may be able to bet to the tune of $10,000, and you don't know until you see how successful the platform is. Your expected return curve there is very closely related to the expected return if you held equity, except a lot worse because you don't even have a claim to any non-Gnosis products that the team builds.