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I didn't equate them. The analogy is that weather is extremely complicated, so much so that meteorologists struggle to predict what will happen in the next 12
by ythn 9y ago
I didn't equate them.
The analogy is that weather is extremely complicated, so much so that meteorologists struggle to predict what will happen in the next 12 hours. If climate is an order of magnitude more complicated than weather, why should the predictions suddenly be much more accurate? My local meteorologists get the prediction right maybe 70% of the time. You're telling me the apocalyptic climate predictions approach 100% accuracy and that I have no room for skepticism?
- JshWright 9y ago> If climate is an order of magnitude more complicated than weather, why should the predictions suddenly be much more accurate? For the same reason a doctor can't predict if an individual patient will have a heart attack, but a public health researcher can accurately predict the overall rate of heart attacks in a population. Forecasting weather is trying to predict a single event. That is by definition harder than predicting a trend of averages.