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serious question: why do we think that woz has some sort of ability to predict the future more than anyone else? this is a common theme in tech: someone has a s

• NotSammyHagar 9y ago
  Yes, because you have to be pretty capable plus lucky to make it in a fundamental new way, there's a better chance you can be successful in the future. But you see people being really lucky too.
• erikpukinskis 9y ago
  I think he's a credible futurist. He obviously has the fundamental electrical engineering background, which helps. He is also CONSTANTLY chiming in about every little new smartphone feature or business move in the computing space. That at least signifies he's keeping track of what's factually happening. On top of that he seems to be a unique thinker. That's not a value judgement, maybe he's a bad thinker. But he's often happy to disagree with conventional wisdom, and has his own framework from which he understands the world. I think those three things together make for someone who will be good at predicting at least some things. Which things to rely on Woz for is, as with every futurist, mostly an exercise for the reader.