I was rather annoyed by the assertion of irrationality in this post's second example (engineer or lawyer): http://youarenotsosmart.com/2010/05/28/representativ

I was rather annoyed by the assertion of irrationality in this post's second example (engineer or lawyer): http://youarenotsosmart.com/2010/05/28/representative-heuristic/ http://youarenotsosmart.com/2010/05/28/representative-heuris... Doesn't Bayes have a say in the matter? What if I believed that few engineers hung around country clubs but many lawyers chose such a lifestyle? It would more likely that the person described was a lawyer. What if the facts presented included "passed the bar exam on the first try"? Wouldn't we suspect this person to be an attorney?