3 ms·
Well, you can build a physical model of a coin, and all forces acting on it during toss/fall, and show that in an ideal scenario (perfect coin/perfect landing s
by p1esk 10y ago
Well, you can build a physical model of a coin, and all forces acting on it during toss/fall, and show that in an ideal scenario (perfect coin/perfect landing surface), there would be roughly half of the initial conditions leading to heads, and roughly half leading to tails.
- danbruc 10y agoIf you want to go down this road, then we will have to switch to a nuclear decay based coin or something like that. In the case of a coin toss there never was any real randomness, as you say we were just ignorant of the initial conditions. Given a distribution over the possible initial conditions, we can determine the probabilities for heads and tails. The possibly huge number of degrees of freedom and deterministic chaos will of course make this an unpleasant exercise.
- p1esk 10y agoCan we base our belief about coin toss probability on the belief that about half of the initial conditions lead to heads and half to tails, without verifying it?