4 ms·
Compounding/causing this issue is people in general don't take expectation values into account - we always subconsciously overestimate the probability of a rare
by semi-extrinsic 10y ago
Compounding/causing this issue is people in general don't take expectation values into account - we always subconsciously overestimate the probability of a rare, positive event (winning the lottery) and underestimate the probability of a rare, negative event (dying in a car crash tomorrow).