> I think there are a lot of pretty good reasons why the vehicle market is going to change significantly in the next 15 years But not necessarily shrinking the

> I think there are a lot of pretty good reasons why the vehicle market is going to change significantly in the next 15 years But not necessarily shrinking the market. The cost of mobility goes down, consumption will go up. How high? I'm going to guess absurdly high. The reason US cities are sprawling messes is that they were built as the cost of mobility dropped off a cliff (cars and trucks replaced horses). Go read Clifford Simak's "City". People will live in self driving cars and commute in their sleep. It's going to be nuts.