That's really nice. Thanks for the link. Bayes' theorem is a lot less complicated than its enthusiasts make it seem, especially Yudkowsky. If you understand con

That's really nice. Thanks for the link. Bayes' theorem is a lot less complicated than its enthusiasts make it seem, especially Yudkowsky. If you understand conditional probability and if you know how to check your work in algebra then you already know Bayes' theorem.