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I don't think AI researchers are "out of their depth" (I am one myself). And yes, there is room for different opinions. However, I believe that the ones who sa
by rspeer 10y ago
I don't think AI researchers are "out of their depth" (I am one myself). And yes, there is room for different opinions.
However, I believe that the ones who say sensational things about AI doomsday are the ones who are disproportionately quoted by the media.
- joshuamorton 10y agoThis is also true. You see all of these things like Hawking and Musk talking about the AI Apocalypse (when they aren't even experts in the field), and it gets people scared when, at this point, there's very little reason to be. On the other hand, I don't actually know Hinton's opinion on these things, and he might agree with me (in which case, you absolutely should listen to him!). But instead the loudest voices are perhaps the most ridiculous. That said, I do think that if I asked you to make a bet with me on when we would approach with even 50% confidence, your error bars would be on the order of a century.