3 ms·
Thanks for this. It's always useful to inject some hard data into these conversations. Looking at a more recent Roy Morgan poll (Oct 2016), the numbers appear t
by spangry 10y ago
Thanks for this. It's always useful to inject some hard data into these conversations. Looking at a more recent Roy Morgan poll (Oct 2016), the numbers appear to have changed a bit, with a few interesting inconsistencies.
1. 66% support asylum seeker immigration vs 25% oppose
2. 40% support immigration levels holding steady (up 3%), 21% support increasing immigration (down 11%), and 34% want immigration levels reduced (up 8%).
3. Confusingly, by 2046, 36% want a population under 30 million, 25% want 30-35m, and 23% want 35m or more.
These numbers suggest to me that the respondents don't quite understand that if we maintain current immigration levels, we will very likely hit or exceed 35m population by 2046 (something which only 23% of respondents want).
The ABS models 3 possible population scenarios (which use differing assumptions about fertility, life expectancy etc.). In the 'High' scenario, by 2046 our population will be 39.7m. In the 'Med' scenario, it will be 36m. In the 'Low' scenario, 33m.
Source with assumptions and permutations: http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Lookup/3222.0main+features42012%20(base)%20to%202101 http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Lookup/3222.0main+fe...
RM Poll: http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/7017-australian-views-on-immigration-population-october-2016-201610241910 http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/7017-australian-views-o...