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Some South Koreans have been predicting NK's demise since the 90's. They didn't collapse then, and I don't think they would now. For nearly a decade South Kor
by yongjik 10y ago
Some South Koreans have been predicting NK's demise since the 90's. They didn't collapse then, and I don't think they would now.
For nearly a decade South Korea's conservative government said they may collapse any time, and South Korea's strategy to deal with it was essentially "cut whatever ties we have, guard our borders tightly, starve them out and (some magic happens here)." First, it deprived us of whatever small leverage we used to have, and second, collapse of NK will be a total economic disaster for SK. Europe has trouble dealing with five million Syrians. North Korea has 25 million people and all they have to do to enter South Korea, should their nation fail, is to walk south.
That's not discrediting that North Korea is a thoroughly unpleasant criminal state which has no right to exist. But they do exist, and will continue to do so in the foreseeable future, and anyone trying to deal with NK had better take that into their plan.
- dba7dba 10y agoNorth Koreans can't really simply Walk to South Korea because of DMZ. It would be easier for them to walk to China. And S Korea and others are planning for possibility of NK collapsing. But I honestly believe no planning would be enough. NK people will have to be fenced into NK for like 10 years to be reprogrammed. And allowed out to rest of world slowly.