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I've been parroting for a while that Snapchat was a feature masquerading as a business (I got that idea from somewhere but I don't remember where). Once FB mess

by castis 10y ago

I've been parroting for a while that Snapchat was a feature masquerading as a business (I got that idea from somewhere but I don't remember where). Once FB messenger gets the filter goofiness that SC has (maybe it does already, I dont know), that'll be everything SC had to offer that I am aware of. Unless SC does something novel soon, I wouldn't assume that it's going to be around for much longer.

yeukhon 10y ago
It will stick around for several more years but the business model for SC is really questionable to keep up with making profit ever. The whole "I've got a lot of active users" is pretty much a building on fire, much like Uber in general. The fire will go on for as long as there are enough oxygen and enough material to burn until users starts to drop or advertisers see no value returning from paying Snapchat. SC won't completely go away for a long time, much like MySpace is still a thing today. Uber on the other hand is sort of "too big to fail" because of the amount of users it has already accumulated and already invested. Don't think SC will be too big to fail ever, but it will be interested to see how SC plays out in the next couple years with its production evolution.
- amyjess 10y ago
  > The whole "I've got a lot of active users" is pretty much a building on fire Isn't this what caused the dot-com bust of 2000?
  - yeukhon 10y ago
    Yeah, I think so. I think we are seeing this with Uber already, which I am afraid Uber will become the eventual too big to fail, but it can fail if nothing done right since in 2016 Uber has lost $3B already. Like I said, SC's failure wouldn't be a huge loss for investors. It's going IPO.
spike021 10y ago
FB messenger got the feature a couple weeks ago. In terms of adoption rate amongst people on my friends list, more people began using the Stories on Instagram immediately. Only 2 or 3 people out of 450+ "friends" on my FB have even posted to the story thing in messenger. The first day Stories was available for Instagram, people were posting either the same things to both Instagram and Snapchat stories, or just regular "snap"-type posts. If FB messenger adoption in my circle is anything like it is for the majority of regular users, then it won't be very popular.
blawson 10y ago
You probably got that idea from Steve Jobs, describing Dropbox to Drew Houston. Dropbox is doing pretty well though, if that's the comparison Snap might be in good shape! https://www.forbes.com/sites/victoriabarret/2011/10/18/dropbox-the-inside-story-of-techs-hottest-startup/#977ccbe6437b https://www.forbes.com/sites/victoriabarret/2011/10/18/dropb...

by castis 10y ago

yeukhon 10y ago

It will stick around for several more years but the business model for SC is really questionable to keep up with making profit ever. The whole "I've got a lot of active users" is pretty much a building on fire, much like Uber in general. The fire will go on for as long as there are enough oxygen and enough material to burn until users starts to drop or advertisers see no value returning from paying Snapchat. SC won't completely go away for a long time, much like MySpace is still a thing today. Uber on the other hand is sort of "too big to fail" because of the amount of users it has already accumulated and already invested. Don't think SC will be too big to fail ever, but it will be interested to see how SC plays out in the next couple years with its production evolution.

amyjess 10y ago
> The whole "I've got a lot of active users" is pretty much a building on fire Isn't this what caused the dot-com bust of 2000?
- yeukhon 10y ago
  Yeah, I think so. I think we are seeing this with Uber already, which I am afraid Uber will become the eventual too big to fail, but it can fail if nothing done right since in 2016 Uber has lost $3B already. Like I said, SC's failure wouldn't be a huge loss for investors. It's going IPO.

spike021 10y ago

FB messenger got the feature a couple weeks ago. In terms of adoption rate amongst people on my friends list, more people began using the Stories on Instagram immediately. Only 2 or 3 people out of 450+ "friends" on my FB have even posted to the story thing in messenger. The first day Stories was available for Instagram, people were posting either the same things to both Instagram and Snapchat stories, or just regular "snap"-type posts. If FB messenger adoption in my circle is anything like it is for the majority of regular users, then it won't be very popular.

blawson 10y ago

You probably got that idea from Steve Jobs, describing Dropbox to Drew Houston. Dropbox is doing pretty well though, if that's the comparison Snap might be in good shape! https://www.forbes.com/sites/victoriabarret/2011/10/18/dropbox-the-inside-story-of-techs-hottest-startup/#977ccbe6437b https://www.forbes.com/sites/victoriabarret/2011/10/18/dropb...