Because its not false. Its just unlikely. I think he got it spot on. You expected him to say "It's not going to explode this year." then look like an idiot whe

Because its not false. Its just unlikely. I think he got it spot on. You expected him to say "It's not going to explode this year." then look like an idiot when it does? When someone doesn't know something, I expect them to say "I don't know," rather than try to pick up as many ad impressions as possible by saying something outrageous. Disclaimer: I'm a huge fan of Dr. Plait, the author of this blog.