Yes. Go look at the thread starting here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13949385 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13949385 and a figure of 20+ years

Yes. Go look at the thread starting here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13949385 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13949385 and a figure of 20+ years comes up, assuming that you want it to be truly indistinguishable from reality. It could be sooner with major algorithmical improvements, and the display technology itself could be 5-10 years out.