3 ms·
Because some believe this country won't last the next 10 years
by Diamons 10y ago
Because some believe this country won't last the next 10 years
- notheguyouthink 10y agoOn that note, where is safe to put your money i wonder? Is there more and less stable mediums to hold your money?
- ryanmarsh 10y agoIf you're 40 you've probably experienced 2 to 3 boom/bust cycles (depending on the industry) as an earner. I think that kind of volatility and hope for the next windfall leads people to believe debt will work itself out. Or as is oft misattributed to Steinbeck: "... in America because the poor see themselves not as an exploited proletariat, but as temporarily embarrassed millionaires."
- Arizhel 10y agoAs an engineer, boom/bust cycles like this remind me of system instability with insufficient damping. It doesn't work itself out; the oscillations get larger and larger, and then something breaks. Remember the Tacoma Narrows Bridge?
- TulliusCicero 10y agoBut the oscillations aren't getting larger. The great recession sucked, but it was nowhere near as bad as the great depression.
- Arizhel 10y agoThey are getting larger. You're looking too far back. After the Great Depression, policies were enacted which served as dampers to improve system stability. They worked for quite a while. But eventually these policies were eroded or repealed, and other societal factors came along which degraded stability, so the oscillations picked up again, and grew larger and larger (think 80s S&L crisis, '00 dot-com crash), culminating in the '08 recession. Now we're going to have a much bigger one with Trump and the GOP in office. If this one doesn't cause a collapse, the next one will.
- TulliusCicero 10y agoThe dot com crash was big for the stock market and for the tech industry, but it wasn't a really big recession; it barely touched economic fundamentals, just look at GDP. Personally I doubt the next recession/slowdown will be anywhere near as big as 08, but I guess we'll see.
- Arizhel 10y agoWe always have recessions when there's Republicans in power (I'm not sure why voters haven't figured this one out yet); there was one with Reagan, one with Bush I, one with Bush II, etc. Trump and the current crop of Republicans are advocating very extreme changes (namely trade restrictions), so I think we're likely to have a more extreme recession because of this.