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The demand for new software may never go away entirely, but the scope of what can be accomplished while writing little or no code is ever-increasing. I expect
by elihu 10y ago
The demand for new software may never go away entirely, but the scope of what can be accomplished while writing little or no code is ever-increasing. I expect it's going to get harder and harder for businesses to justify spending money on software development when there's already a good-enough program that already exists.
This has been happening for a long time. Back in the 80's and 90's, most of the major tech companies had their own derivative of UNIX because it made sense (sort of) to have their own in-house OS. Now almost everything is Windows, Linux, or MacOS. It would seem very strange for any company to go off and do their own thing rather than use one of those three.
- mtdewcmu 10y agoIn the 90s, I thought that there wasn't much software left to write. It turned out that there was. I don't want to be glib, but I think it's always hard to imagine the things that haven't been created yet.
- petra 10y agoI think Moore, after his famous prediction , had some crazy predictions about the stuff computer will do. I would guess Steve jobs had some idea too. So maybe in general , some rare visionaires do know, but most people don't.
- mtdewcmu 10y agoIn the case of Steve Jobs, his predictions were things that he did himself. I think what youre saying is that he predicted what a good cell phone would look like. I'm not sure that's really salient to my point.