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Of course you're right. There is bias. However this bias is informed by pronouncements from the EU themselves declaring they want £50 billion up-front for us l
by PaulRobinson 10y ago
Of course you're right. There is bias.
However this bias is informed by pronouncements from the EU themselves declaring they want £50 billion up-front for us leaving, and models that have been updated based on agreements we can see in action elsewhere (Norway, Sweden, WTO tariffs, etc.)
So... yes, it might all be wrong. But if you aren't prepared to accept any model because in the past some models were a little off, well, how are we meant to make reasonable decisions about the future.
- mattmanser 10y agoYou're still not saying where you got £60 billion per year from. If you're talking about the OBR figures, they're not a per year figure, but a one off cost. They also include something like £15 billion because of a drop in immigration. The OBR present growth figures include a built in "we're going to keep on ignoring our immigration targets" figure, and by removing that, "lost" that money. So it's basically two parts of government doing opposite things and then talking as if it's a "cost".