3 ms·
If there's an "AI effect" surely its inverse also exists; it seems to me that every time there is a [relatively] major advancement, a similar chorus of supporte
by Berobero 10y ago
If there's an "AI effect" surely its inverse also exists; it seems to me that every time there is a [relatively] major advancement, a similar chorus of supporters pop up to tell us how we're so close to solving every AI problem imaginable. In recent memory there's Google's NMT, which had people effectively saying it's "solved" translation, but when I got to actually feed something into it, as a competent speaker of Japanese and former translator, I can only say that I was wholly unimpressed, relative to the hype at least.
Discounting AI advances is nothing new, but upselling them is at least as old, as well.
- saosebastiao 10y agoI completely agree. Deep learning has been doing this most recently and I'd argue that the very existence of AI winters is really just deflated expectations that always were overly ambitious. My own way to look at AI winters is as triumph of Scruffy pragmatism over Neat delusions. Intelligence is unimaginably complicated, there is no reason to believe that silver bullet algorithms even exist, let alone the probability that the latest fad is it.