3 ms·
There isn't any downside. But if the test costs are negligible and you can afford to run a test for a week longer, it is always great to do so. I have seen too
by paraschopra 16y ago
There isn't any downside. But if the test costs are negligible and you can afford to run a test for a week longer, it is always great to do so. I have seen too many tests where confidence level after touching >95% came back to 70% or so once extended the test.
An even better way is to do a follow up test where you do an A/B test where both variations are red. And if you see enough variance in that test, then I don't think you should take results seriously.
When you are testing it is always better to try proving a hypothesis wrong rather than trying to prove it right.
EDIT: clarified some parts.
- jules 16y agoPerhaps multi armed bandit algorithms can help here. They automatically balance testing to see which version is better with using the best version as much as possible. A multi armed bandit algorithm is a gambler with a number of levers at his disposal. He chooses which lever to pull and then receives a reward. In this case lever 1 is "show page version A" and lever 2 is "show page version B". The algorithms work so that they balance discovering which lever is best with pulling the best lever. Here's an example of a very simple algorithm. Record the average profit for page A and page B in two variables. Now with probability p (for example p=95%) choose the page with the highest average profit so far. With probability 1-p pick one at random. A more advanced algorithm could vary p over time so that it starts at 0% increases towards 100%. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multi-armed_bandit http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multi-armed_bandit