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Maybe not, but in 2000 downloading JPGs of naked ladies required great patience, and now I can stream 4K video. Look at his predictions from the 1989 timeframe
by dharmon 10y ago
Maybe not, but in 2000 downloading JPGs of naked ladies required great patience, and now I can stream 4K video.
Look at his predictions from the 1989 timeframe and count up how many were just extrapolating Moore's law and coming up with different implications.
My point was that making unsurprising, long-term predictions (10-20 years) is both easy and useless. But for some reason we call people who do this, "futurists".
Now there's another name for people who can make surprising, short-term predictions (< 10 years). We call them "rich".