4 ms·
You misunderstand what a 1 in x event means it is a probability not a clock. We had 2 1/250 year floods in my village within 5 years - exacerbated by the land
by lostboys67 10y ago
You misunderstand what a 1 in x event means it is a probability not a clock.
We had 2 1/250 year floods in my village within 5 years - exacerbated by the land owners not maintain the waterways on their property
- Retric 10y agoThis is not one event 600 years ago, this is several events over 600+ years where people marked safe areas. 26,000 died in this one but even with a smaller population in 1896 one killed 22,000 people. These are 1:100 year events not 1:1,000 year events and people are really bad about things that happen less frequently than 1:50 years or so.
- alphonsegaston 10y agoI didn't misunderstand anything about probability. Japan is among the most seismically active regions in the world and tsunamis and large earthquakes are(in historical terms) a regular occurrence. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_historical_tsunamis https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_historical_tsunamis https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_historical_earthquakes https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_historical_earthquak... They don't hem to this probability no matter how you try and frame it.
- huxley 10y agoThe term is misleading and leads to poor decision-making