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Which is why I offer Simon as a counterpoint. Simon believed that there is more than simple arithmetic (as Bartlett calls it) when it comes to growth. You have
by ModelCitizen 16y ago
Which is why I offer Simon as a counterpoint.
Simon believed that there is more than simple arithmetic (as Bartlett calls it) when it comes to growth. You have to throw something like technology into the mix, which is difficult to predict.
The Simon-Erlich bet is a good, real-world illustration of their disagreements.
- rsheridan6 16y agoEhrlich was a jackass who made hysterical predictions. In the 70s, he was predicting an imminent Malthusian disaster - like this - http://www.paleofuture.com/blog/2007/7/18/the-population-bomb-scenario-3-1970.html http://www.paleofuture.com/blog/2007/7/18/the-population-bom... That's a long way from Bartlett. Don't take Ehrlich as a spokesman for anybody who believes in limits to growth.