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Yes I understand the difference between a windturbine falling down and a nuclear meltdown. Those WHO projections, for both Chernobyl and Fukushima, include dea
by spangry 10y ago
Yes I understand the difference between a windturbine falling down and a nuclear meltdown.
Those WHO projections, for both Chernobyl and Fukushima, include deaths from future cases of cancer. In Fukushima's case, the WHO specifically examined the effect that the increased radiation exposure would have on children. From their 2015 update:
"Given the exposure to radioactive iodine during the early phase of the emergency, WHO specifically assessed the risk of thyroid cancer. The greatest risk was found among girls exposed as infants (i.e. < 1 year old) in the most affected area in the Fukushima prefecture. Even if those levels of risk might not be clinically detectable, WHO anticipated that the thyroid ultrasound screening programme being conducted in Fukushima prefecture was likely to lead to an increase in the incidence of thyroid diseases due to earlier detection of non-symptomatic cases.
There have been recent reports about thyroid cancer cases being diagnosed among children exposed to low doses of radioactive iodine as a result of the Fukushima accident. These reports should be interpreted with caution. A large excess of thyroid cancer due to radiation exposure, such as occurred after the Chernobyl accident, can be discounted because the estimated thyroid doses due to the Fukushima accident were substantially lower than in Chernobyl. Nevertheless, the highly-sensitive thyroid screening of those under 18 years old at the time of the accident is expected to detect a large number of thyroid cysts and solid nodules, including a number of thyroid cancers that would not have been detected without such intensive screening. Similar or even slightly higher rates of cysts and nodules were found in prefectures not affected by the nuclear accident. The substantial number of cases that have already been observed in the Fukushima Health Management Survey have been considered likely due to the sensitivity of the screening rather than to radiation exposure."
2015 update: http://www.who.int/ionizing_radiation/a_e/fukushima/faqs-fukushima/en/ http://www.who.int/ionizing_radiation/a_e/fukushima/faqs-fuk...
2013 report: http://www.who.int/ionizing_radiation/pub_meet/fukushima_risk_assessment_2013/en/ http://www.who.int/ionizing_radiation/pub_meet/fukushima_ris...
- nl 10y agoThe metric here seems to be "better than Chernobyl". There is no accounting for the abandoned land which is likely to be needed to be left for hundreds of years.