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> Researchers have yet to find solid evidence that automation has ever destroyed jobs. Horse jobs (horses are a special and strange kind of human) are nil. Bef
by simonsarris 10y ago
> Researchers have yet to find solid evidence that automation has ever destroyed jobs.
Horse jobs (horses are a special and strange kind of human) are nil. Before there were lots of jobs they could do, now there are no essential tasks.
Turnspit dog[0] jobs (another very strange kind of human) are nil, in fact they are so nil that the dogs went extinct. There were no tasks left for them to do, their jobs were automated away.
Jobs for very very intellectually slow people are nil or nearly nil. This was not true in say, 1600. In 1600 even the most dimwitted human could be helpful: At the very least he could do essential tasks like chop wood and carry water. Today there are zero essential tasks. If one has a job, it is usually because someone is humoring him or her, or that we as a society have just decided to be nice, economics of it be damned [1].
Very few humans under 10 in the united states have jobs. This was not always true. Very few humans over 80 have jobs. There are no essential tasks that we have for these classes of people, just like the horses and very slow people. (We could consider this a victory that there aren't any jobs for 10 year olds but that's beside the point here)
There are classes of humans already boxed out of any possible job in some economies. Gradations of humans must exist nearly all the way up the chain. Saying that automation has not destroyed jobs is simply a lack of imagination on the part of these researchers.
Maybe not all humans will be obsolete in the job market, but we already have to permit that some are.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turnspit_dog https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turnspit_dog
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodwill_Industries https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goodwill_Industries
- jdoliner 10y agoThe statements about jobs not being destroyed is about _aggregate_ jobs. If you pick any specific group of people (or animals) you can find many examples of groups losing jobs. Hopefully this doesn't come as a surprise to you and hopefully you can see how these are different things. Markets shift, that's the whole point of markets, and when they do it's very painful for those they shift away from. The most poignant example of this is that a smaller percentage of Americans have jobs now than they did in the 70s (and even as recently as 2008). But those jobs have gone to other countries and perhaps there's a good reason for that. > Saying that automation has not destroyed jobs is simply a lack of imagination on the part of these researchers. I honestly burst out laughing at this, what do you think these researchers have failed to imagine? The idea of confining their view strictly to horse employment and not considering the employment as a whole? Researchers shouldn't be imaginative in how they approach experiments, they should be scientific and precise. If they don't like the results they get they shouldn't imagine new definitions of employment that justify their preconceived notions.
- kwhitefoot 10y agoPerhaps people simply need to express themselves with a little more care and clarity and say that "the number of jobs has not been reduced" instead of saying that "jobs have not been destroyed" when it is plain as day that certain jobs no longer exist, that is they have been destroyed.
- Fantastic_T 10y ago>Horse jobs (horses are a special and strange kind of human) are nil. There is no such thing as a horse job. Horses are not people with legal rights. They are property, that was replaced as soon as a better machine came around. Humans aren't horses. Horses can't buy an automobile or a computer. The number of registered automobiles has gone from 126 million in 1960 to over 1.2 billion in 2012, which is a 4X increase per capita. The number of people owning smartphones (a type of personal computer) has gone from 122 million in 2007 to 2.5 billion in 2017.
- kwhitefoot 10y ago> There is no such thing as a horse job. Of course there is. The occupation of ostler was once an important trade, it is no longer.
- Fantastic_T 10y agoOstler was a human job. The parent comment implied that horses had jobs.