4 ms·
(Hey Leo) I agree, this is hard to do. Because most investors triangulate on 15-25% per round, and use the amount of money you expect to raise as a way to back
by Brushfire 10y ago
(Hey Leo)
I agree, this is hard to do. Because most investors triangulate on 15-25% per round, and use the amount of money you expect to raise as a way to back into a valuation.
As a founder, the best way to do this in a seed round would be to raise (all or most of) your seed round from Angels, who are more likely to sign off on a note / safe at a specific cap without knowing the total amount raised, and then you can triangulate on 10%.
It's worth noting that this game is even harder outside of the valley, because while operating costs are significantly lower, so are valuations, and most companies will bump into minimum cash needs for 12-18 months.
Sam made a good point: running out of money is way worse than optimizing for your cap table.
Let me make a second point: Optimizing for success is way more important than optimizing your cap table. In other words: If you believe a specific investor meaningfully adds to the probability of a success state for your company, then its probably a good bet even if you are not happy about the dilution.
In order of what you should care about:
1. Not running out of money.
2. Finding people who can be value-add and help you prevent mistakes and find success.
...
3. Dilution (within reason).
Also, you can always recap founders in later stages. It happens.
- lpolovets 10y agoThat's a great way to prioritize those three things. Existential risk is always #1.