It's more like an incentive I offer the person who doubts the story ever happened to prove me wrong. Thereby the truth is learned, regardless of whatever a prio

It's more like an incentive I offer the person who doubts the story ever happened to prove me wrong. Thereby the truth is learned, regardless of whatever a priori probability I actually have. I'm just playing the player-2 role in the game "who wants to make a bet?"