Dr David Spiegelhalter runs the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk at Cambridge. He has some good stuff on this for more everyday activities

Dr David Spiegelhalter runs the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk at Cambridge. He has some good stuff on this for more everyday activities like drinking beer, being 5kg overweight for a day and smoking a cigarette and things. https://understandinguncertainty.org/microlives https://understandinguncertainty.org/microlives