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No. It's definitely 41%. Look at page 6 of your link The earliest that machines will be able to simulate learning and every other aspect of human intel
by vectorpush 10y ago
No. It's definitely 41%. Look at page 6 of your link
The earliest that machines will be able to simulate learning and every other
aspect of human intelligence:
Within 10 years 6 5%
Between 11 and 25 years 3 2%
Between 26 and 50 years 14 11%
More than 50 years 50 41%
Never 50 41%
Totals 123 100%
- Houshalter 10y agoThat's in the prior work section. It's a much older survey of one specific conference.
- gydfi 10y agoAnd was the other survey a comprehensive survey of everybody? The divergence in poll results seems to suggest we should put even less credence on polls here than usual.
- Houshalter 10y agoIt was in 2006 which is way before AI started seeing it's recent progress. And it was a conference full of old fashioned AI people.