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The stock is fascinating to watch because of how binary the perception of the company is. After doing some sophisticated psychoanalysis™, the sharpest distincti
by tokipin 10y ago
The stock is fascinating to watch because of how binary the perception of the company is. After doing some sophisticated psychoanalysis™, the sharpest distinction I've found between the two opposing viewpoints is design. People who don't understand Tesla tend to be the same people who didn't (and still don't) understand the iPhone. For these people, the Model S is just another car, in the same way that the iPhone would have seemed like "just another cell phone". The idea that "just another car" is going to beat companies that are already making cars (and have been doing so since forever) doesn't make sense.
Related to this is people getting stuck on the idea of an "EV market", which I don't think was ever really a thing. Tesla has been competing in the same car market that every other car company competes in. The electric drivetrain may be a major factor in enabling a superior design, but most people don't care. I think many short sellers are attributing Tesla's sales to "EV buyers" rather than to "people that buy cars that are better than other cars". These are two very different beliefs about what's going on.
The financial arguments are (in my opinion) largely after-the-fact rationalizations.
- aedron 10y agoYou can't say that a Tesla car represents technology innovation to the same degree the iPhone did. Nothing in a Tesla is technologically groundbreaking, it is more of a product innovation (a high-powered electric car) with good execution.
- pythonaut_16 10y agoWhich is exactly what the iPhone was. Not the first smart phone. Not the first touch screen device. Just an innovation (iteration) with good execution and strong branding driven by a man with a strong vision for his product. I don't know that Tesla is a good stock to own right now; I don't know if they'll be as wildly successful in the long run. But you can't just outright dismiss the previous poster's comparisons to the iPhone.
- TeMPOraL 10y agoI think you're missing a very important point here - Elon Musk is a man on a mission. Some people are totally buying into that mission.