I want to say cheesey things like "The only thing certain is uncertainty" and talk about the pangs of Hamlet, but instead I'll offer this bit of advice from Col

I want to say cheesey things like "The only thing certain is uncertainty" and talk about the pangs of Hamlet, but instead I'll offer this bit of advice from Colin Powell I recall from previous HN threads: Part I:"Use the formula P=40 to 70, in which P stands for the probability of success and the numbers indicate the percentage of information acquired." Part II:"Once the information is in the 40 to 70 range, go with your gut." From lesson #15 in this presentation about Colin Powell on Leadership (http://www.slideshare.net/guesta3e206/colin-powells-leadership-presentation http://www.slideshare.net/guesta3e206/colin-powells-leadersh...)