4 ms·

I think there's more factors than that. Air traffic controllers are very overworked and they don't often cause collisions[1]. I think this part of the article

I think there's more factors than that. Air traffic controllers are very overworked and they don't often cause collisions[1]. I think this part of the article is what the big problem is: “Eighty percent of doctors don’t think probabilities apply to their patients,” I've recently gone through 4 years of medical treatment, and it's still ongoing. Only to find out this week that I have Lyme disease. Given that the chances of getting Lyme where I live is relatively small, it was overlooked for many years. I even asked doctors to test for it, but they refused. Meaning I'm a direct example of doctors not considering non-regular cases. It cost me over $20,000 out of pocket. Not to mention the other things it cost me. I don't know if its a form of arrogance or how they are trained or a combination of both. But can be life-destroying for patients to say the least. The leading cause of death in Lyme patients is suicide. [1] http://www.businessinsider.com/air-traffic-controllers-are-dangerously-overworked-2015-8 http://www.businessinsider.com/air-traffic-controllers-are-d...

alphaoverlord 10y ago
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronic_Lyme_disease https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronic_Lyme_disease Chronic Lyme is very controversial and likely not the true etiology
mikenuman 10y ago
Lyme is the new fibromyalgia, which replaced ME, which replaced the "Victorian lady took to her bed for a number of years" trope. Be very careful of jumping down this rabbit hole. The tests you'll have had are not validated.
rscho 10y ago
As a matter of fact, their training could indeed have motivated their refusal to test. The Lyme test not being perfect and the disease not being that frequent in your area makes testing dubious, depending on the particular numbers. In more scientific words: if the prevalence of the disease goes down, then the positive predictive value of the test decreases as well [1][2]. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_and_negative_predictive_values#Positive_predictive_value https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_and_negative_predicti... [2] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2540558/pdf/bmj00448-0038a.pdf https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2540558/pdf/bmj...
projektir 10y ago
> I think there's more factors than that. Air traffic controllers are very overworked and they don't often cause collisions[1]. Seems like they're getting pretty close. Air traffic and medicine are not the same field, I wouldn't expect the probabilities and risks to be the same. > The study found that nearly 2 in 10 controllers had committed significant errors in the previous year — such as bringing planes too close together — and over half attributed the errors to fatigue. A third of controllers said they perceived fatigue to be a "high" or "extreme" safety risk. Greater than 6 in 10 controllers indicated that in the previous year they had fallen asleep or experienced a lapse of attention while driving to or from midnight shifts, which typically begin about 10 p.m. and end around 6 a.m.

alphaoverlord 10y ago

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronic_Lyme_disease https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronic_Lyme_disease Chronic Lyme is very controversial and likely not the true etiology

mikenuman 10y ago

Lyme is the new fibromyalgia, which replaced ME, which replaced the "Victorian lady took to her bed for a number of years" trope. Be very careful of jumping down this rabbit hole. The tests you'll have had are not validated.

rscho 10y ago

As a matter of fact, their training could indeed have motivated their refusal to test. The Lyme test not being perfect and the disease not being that frequent in your area makes testing dubious, depending on the particular numbers. In more scientific words: if the prevalence of the disease goes down, then the positive predictive value of the test decreases as well [1][2]. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_and_negative_predictive_values#Positive_predictive_value https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_and_negative_predicti... [2] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2540558/pdf/bmj00448-0038a.pdf https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2540558/pdf/bmj...

projektir 10y ago

> I think there's more factors than that. Air traffic controllers are very overworked and they don't often cause collisions[1]. Seems like they're getting pretty close. Air traffic and medicine are not the same field, I wouldn't expect the probabilities and risks to be the same. > The study found that nearly 2 in 10 controllers had committed significant errors in the previous year — such as bringing planes too close together — and over half attributed the errors to fatigue. A third of controllers said they perceived fatigue to be a "high" or "extreme" safety risk. Greater than 6 in 10 controllers indicated that in the previous year they had fallen asleep or experienced a lapse of attention while driving to or from midnight shifts, which typically begin about 10 p.m. and end around 6 a.m.