4 ms·

The hit and miss analysis seems a bit off. Gates talks quite a bit about what people will be _able_ to do rather what they _will_ do. Most of the things he said

• rbanffy 16y ago
  This is one trick you can use to make a prediction future proof. He misses mostly when he says something won't be possible. I am quite sure a lot of stuff will be possible in a couple decades. I am not sure people will be doing them.
  • lawn 16y ago
    When you're saying this I'm thinking about Nostradamus, this 2012 phenomena and the bible. Things you can interpret in many different ways so that if one thing fail, you can reinterpret it and say "oh no the world shouldn't end in 2000, now it's obvious the year should be 2012".
• stcredzero 16y ago
  The hit and miss analysis seems a bit off. Seems downright biased to me. Bill was as prescient as one could expect with many of these points. Of course, his vision isn't perfect, but he does have a general gist of what would happen. Where he's been really wrong is how Microsoft and Windows would fit in, but he's bound to be biased about those factors!