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You aren't alone. The current VC model is destructive because of it's wasting capital at perhaps the most riskiest and inefficient way of producing alpha on oth
by brilliantcode 10y ago
You aren't alone. The current VC model is destructive because of it's wasting capital at perhaps the most riskiest and inefficient way of producing alpha on other people's money-spraying & praying.
I don't know all the ins and outs but I have to echo the sentiment that it is better to make $1 for every $0 spent than $1 for every $2 spent. The latter makes zero economic sense. Any fucking idiot can spend money and make negative ROI. But the market dissonance is being fueled by low interest capital.
We are going to see history repeat again this year and when the water goes out, we'll see who's been swimming naked. They'll be back for the next bubble.
I'm convinced these bubbles are engineered who make money from the ride up and the ride down. Pump & dump on a national level but of course the men who play Gods need not play by the same rules they enforce on lowly mortals.
You will be able to buy a used Ferrari as they depreciate fairly quickly unless they are rare. They aren't built with longevity in mind and the parts do not depreciate in prices (expect to pay a Honda s2000 for clutch and F1 paddle shift pumps).
- chrissnell 10y agoIt's not really accurate to say that the VC game makes $0.50 on the dollar. If that was true, they wouldn't be in business. They make money by hitting grand slams--throwing out a BS number here--every 30 times at-bat. That's all they need. What's unfortunate about the VC model is that 29 out of those 30 at-bats is made on the backs of people who genuinely believe that they have a strong chance of being that grand slam. It's those startup founders who end up with the grey hair and circles under their eyes. As long as their are optimistic dreamers, there will be VC patrons.
- FussyZeus 10y agoExcept it's not 1/30, it's more like 1/300 which still sounds generous to me. As for founders with grey hair, I admire their passion, but I didn't get to where I am now by lighting both ends of my life candle on fire for a 1/300 chance of being better off. Fuck that noise. I'd rather have a life and be poor.