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Seems like he's assuming changing one of these changes all: child mortality == poverty == lack of education == large families High fertility rates, poverty, lo
by harshreality 10y ago
Seems like he's assuming changing one of these changes all: child mortality == poverty == lack of education == large families
High fertility rates, poverty, low education, lack of affordable birth control, child mortality... these and other things cluster together. What's causing what?
If you found a genie and wished for an end to kids dying in Africa, with no intervention in any other parameters, how much do you really think that would change the fertility rate? They're not having lots of kids just to have lots of kids, right? There's some other underlying motivation or cause. Either the kids are accidents, or there's a reason — perhaps an economic motivation — to have lots of kids? What underlying reason for high fertility rates is going to be addressed by stopping kids from dying?
- bluthru 10y agoTo support your point: look at the fertility rate of Mexican-Americans.
- kalleboo 10y agoWikipedia has a lot of sources on the topic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fertility_factor_(demography) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fertility_factor_(demography) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_and_fertility https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_and_fertility
- willvarfar 10y agoThe harsh reality is that Hans spent his life trying to educate people and get them draw conclusions from data instead of repeating their prejudices.
- chappi42 10y agoSorry, but the harsh reality is that data (models) not always work. Especially for complex things. Remember 'The Limits to Growth'? His videos are certainly well made. Motion Charts let you visualize/see numbers nicely and help popularize certain insights. But don't be too hasty with conclusions. Much didn't work in the past. Or was know already but knowledge alone doesn't mean that it can be implemented.