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They will come back in the long tail of manufacturing. You'll buy a standard Toyota made by robots in Nevada for $8,000. But if you want to spend $50,000 you c
by erikpukinskis 10y ago
They will come back in the long tail of manufacturing.
You'll buy a standard Toyota made by robots in Nevada for $8,000. But if you want to spend $50,000 you can get a custom car, with lots of parts manufactured in house.
There will be single humans who build a car from scratch using a couple of robot "helping hands". There will be a car company that uses no robotic tools, using only carefully designed winches, with a car designed specifically for ease of human construction. There will be a competition to build a complete car from scratch as fast as possible.
There will be cars that are unique to Paris, cars that are unique to Arkansas, and cars that are unique Long Beach.
Teenagers will make cars as a science fair project.
There are all kinds of interesting opportunities for things to flip flop. Robots take away easy work, but they make many more kinds of new work easy. I know it is easy to think "what's happening now will be the trend forever!" and robot manufacturing is in fact a major trend, but history is complicated and after robiticization the next phase will look very different again.
- pg314 10y agoIt seems dubious that those custom cars will ever amount to more than a very small niche market.
- erikpukinskis 10y agoEach individual design will be a niche, but all of them together will be somewhere in the low double digit percentage market share. Look at food: the majority is mass produced: McDonald's, frozen pizzas, etc. But there is a big long tail of one off experiences: home cooked meals, local restaurants, etc.