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I'd rather just try really hard to get people to understand that active trading is negative sum, and that unless (As a mom and pop investor) you are properly be
by Ntrails 10y ago
I'd rather just try really hard to get people to understand that active trading is negative sum, and that unless (As a mom and pop investor) you are properly bench-marking against a relevant index - you're just lying to yourself.
Sure HFT guys are faster than you to get short term signals and make money on the micro scale - but even ignoring that way too many people are thinking they're beating the market and they really really aren't.
- SEJeff 10y agoYou just nailed it! I work for a very large HFT and my portfolio for my 401k and extra retirement (in the market) is primarily low cost / fee vanguard index funds. You really can't beat a FPGA with tick to trade times in the milliseconds. Your optical nerve likely hasn't even processed a number changing yet.
- hendzen 10y agoI'm assuming you mean nanoseconds?
- got2surf 10y agoI'm looking at low cost/fee index funds as well (I strongly agree with you that I don't want an active trading strategy for my retirement account). Have you looked at things like Motif Investing? I'm torn on whether I want to create a sector-balanced Vanguard-style index, or just invest in an existing index.
- NDT 10y agosilly question, but why do your LinkedIn and Github say you work at a generic "Financial Industry Company" rather than Jump? especially since Jump is quite prominent.
- got2surf 10y agoYes! Completely agreed. The fact that it's a negative sum game is really hard to explain to people who've had some moderate success trading (and there are plenty of those anecdotal examples out there). But that's a great point that any kind of active trading strategy needs to be compared against the right index. I think this holds true for pension/sovereign funds which invest in multiple hedge funds as well - comparing to the overall market performance may be less relevant than comparing to sector-weighted market performance, for example.